2018 Hawaii gubernatorial election

Hawaii gubernatorial election, 2018
	250px County Results; Ige: 60-70% 70–80%
Governor before election; David Ige; Democratic	Elected Governor; David Ige; Democratic

Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2018 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of Hawaii and Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii.

After prevailing in an intensely competitive primary election on August 11, 2018, incumbent Democratic Governor David Ige ran successfully for re-election to a second term in office, considerably improving on his margin of victory from 2014, in which he only won a plurality. Ige's vote share of 62.67% is the highest of any gubernatorial candidate in Hawaiin history surpassing the previous record of 62.53% set by Linda Lingle in 2006.

1 Democratic primary
- 1.1 Governor
- 1.2 Lieutenant Governor
2 Republican primary
- 2.1 Governor
- 2.2 Lieutenant Governor
3 Green primary
- 3.1 Governor
  - 3.1.1 Candidates
    - 3.1.1.1 Declared
  - 3.1.2 Results
- 3.2 Lieutenant Governor
  - 3.2.1 Candidates
    - 3.2.1.1 Declared
  - 3.2.2 Results
4 Nonpartisan primary
- 4.1 Governor
  - 4.1.1 Candidates
    - 4.1.1.1 Declared
    - 4.1.1.2 Results
- 4.2 Lieutenant Governor
  - 4.2.1 Candidates
    - 4.2.1.1 Declared
    - 4.2.1.2 Results
5 General election
6 References
7 External links

Democratic primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Ernest Caravalho, Democratic Party of Hawaii, Chair, House District 29^[1]
Colleen Hanabusa, U.S. Representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014^[2]^[3]^[4]
David Ige, incumbent Governor^[2]^[5]
Wendell Kaehuaea, security guard and perennial candidate^[6]
Van Tanabe

Withdrew

Clayton Hee, former State Senator and candidate for Lieutenant Governor in 2014^[7]^[8]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	David Ige	Colleen Hanabusa	Clayton Hee	Undecided
Merriman River Group	July 19–21, 2018	871	± 3.3%	43%	34%	–	18%
Mason-Dixon	July 6–11, 2018	494	± 4.5%	44%	40%	–	16%
QMark Research (D-Hanabusa)	June 21 – July 6, 2018	518	± 4.4%	31%	57%	–	11%
QMark Research (D-Hanabusa)	April 21 – May 7, 2018	888	± 3.4%	23%	52%	6%	19%
Merriman River Group	May 3–5, 2018	707	± 3.7%	31%	37%	11%	16%
Mason-Dixon	March 13–18, 2018	498	± 4.5%	27%	47%	11%	15%

Results

File:2018 HI gubernatorial Democratic primary.svg

Results by county:

Ige—50–60%

Ige—40–50%

Hanabusa—40–50%

No data

Democratic primary results^[9]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	David Ige (incumbent)	124,572	51.4
	Democratic	Colleen Hanabusa	107,631	44.4
	Democratic	Ernest Caravahlo	5,662	2.3
	Democratic	Wendell Ka'ehu'ae'a	2,298	0.9
	Democratic	Richard Kim	1,576	0.6
	Democratic	Van Tanabe	775	0.3
Total votes			242,514	100.0

Lieutenant Governor

Candidates

Declared

Bernard Carvalho, Mayor of Kauai County^[10]
Will Espero, State Senate Vice President and candidate for HI-01 in 2014^[11]
Josh Green, State Senator^[3]^[12]^[11]
Kim Coco Iwamoto, former state Board of Education member^[13]
Jill Tokuda, State Senator^[2]

Withdrew

Alan Arakawa, Mayor of Maui County^[14] (running for Maui County Council)^[15]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Bernard Carvalho	Will Espero	Josh Green	Kim Coco Iwamoto	Jill Tokuda	Undecided
Merriman River Group	July 19–21, 2018	871	± 3.3%	13%	5%	31%	10%	17%	26%
Mason-Dixon	July 6–11, 2018	494	± 4.5%	14%	6%	34%	10%	14%	22%
Merriman River Group	May 3–5, 2018	707	± 3.7%	19%	8%	16%	14%	11%	32%
Mason-Dixon	March 13–18, 2018	498	± 4.5%	14%	9%	19%	5%	12%	41%

Results

File:2018 HI Lt. gubernatorial Democratic primary.svg

Results by county:

Green—50–60%

Green—30–40%

Tokuda—30–40%

Carvalho—40–50%

No data

Democratic primary results^[9]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Josh Green	74,845	31.4
	Democratic	Jill Tokuda	68,124	28.6
	Democratic	Bernard P. Carvalho	45,825	19.2
	Democratic	Kim Coco Iwamoto	34,243	14.3
	Democratic	Will Espero	15,463	6.5
Total votes			238,500	100.0

Republican primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

John Carroll, former State Representative, and former State Senator ^[6]^[16]
Ray L'Heureux, president and chairman of the Education Institute of Hawaii, Former Assistant Superintendent, and retired U.S. Marine colonel^[17]
Andria Tupola, Minority Leader of the Hawaii House of Representatives^[18]^[16]

Withdrew

Bob McDermott, State Representative and nominee for HI-02 in 2002^[19]^[20]

Endorsements

Andria Tupola

Newspapers

Maui Time^[21]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	John Carroll	Raymond L'Heureux	Andria Tupola	Undecided
Merriman River Group	July 19–21, 2018	219	± 6.6%	22%	4%	39%	22%
Mason-Dixon	July 6–11, 2018	143	± 8.4%	28%	8%	41%	23%
Mason-Dixon	March 13–18, 2018	134	± 8.6%	40%	–	28%	32%

Results

File:2018 HI gubernatorial Republican primary.svg

Results by county:

Tupola—50–60%

Tupola—40–50%

No data

Republican primary results^[9]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Andria Tupola	17,297	55.5
	Republican	John Carroll	10,974	35.2
	Republican	Ray L'Heureux	2,885	9.3
Total votes			31,156	100.0

Lieutenant Governor

Candidates

Declared

Marissa Kerns
Steve Lipscomb
Jeremy Low

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Marissa Kerns	Jeremy Low	Undecided
Merriman River Group	July 19–21, 2018	219	± 6.6%	26%	20%	54%

Results

File:2018 HI Lt. gubernatorial Republican primary.svg

Results by county:

Kerns—30–40%

Lipscomb—30–40%

No data

Republican primary results^[9]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Marissa Dipasupil Kerns	9,758	35.4
	Republican	Steve Lipscomb	9,543	34.7
	Republican	Jeremy Low	8,232	29.9
Total votes			27,533	100.0

Green primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Jim Brewer

Results

File:2018 HI gubernatorial Green primary.svg

Results by county:

Brewer—100%

No data

Green primary results^[9]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Green	Jim Brewer	454	100.0
Total votes			454	100.0

Lieutenant Governor

Candidates

Declared

Renee Ing

Results

File:2018 HI gubernatorial Green primary.svg

Results by county:

Ing—100%

No data

Green primary results^[9]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Green	Renee Ing	444	100.0
Total votes			444	100.0

Nonpartisan primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Selina Blackwell
Link El
Terrence Teruya

Results

File:2018 Hawaii gubenatorial nonpartisan primary.svg

Results by county:

Teruya—50–60%

Blackwell—40–50%

Blackwell—50–60%

No data

Nonpartisan primary results^[9]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
style="background-color: Template:Nonpartisan (United States)/meta/color; width: 2px;" \|	[[Nonpartisan (United States)\|Template:Nonpartisan (United States)/meta/shortname]]	Terrence Teruya	543	47.7
style="background-color: Template:Nonpartisan (United States)/meta/color; width: 2px;" \|	[[Nonpartisan (United States)\|Template:Nonpartisan (United States)/meta/shortname]]	Selina Blackwell	497	43.7
style="background-color: Template:Nonpartisan (United States)/meta/color; width: 2px;" \|	[[Nonpartisan (United States)\|Template:Nonpartisan (United States)/meta/shortname]]	Link El	98	8.6
Total votes			1,138	100.0

Lieutenant Governor

Candidates

Declared

Ernest Magaoay
Paul Robotti

Results

File:2018 Hawaii lt. gubernatorial nonpartisan primary.svg

Results by county:

Robotti—50–60%

Magaoay—50–60%

No data

Nonpartisan primary results^[9]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
style="background-color: Template:Nonpartisan (United States)/meta/color; width: 2px;" \|	[[Nonpartisan (United States)\|Template:Nonpartisan (United States)/meta/shortname]]	Paul Robotti	536	50.6
style="background-color: Template:Nonpartisan (United States)/meta/color; width: 2px;" \|	[[Nonpartisan (United States)\|Template:Nonpartisan (United States)/meta/shortname]]	Ernest Magaoay	523	49.4
Total votes			1,059	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[22]	Solid D	October 16, 2018
The Washington Post^[23]	Safe D	October 16, 2018
FiveThirtyEight^[24]	Solid D	October 22, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report^[25]	Solid D	October 12, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[26]	Safe D	October 19, 2018
Real Clear Politics^[27]	Safe D	October 21, 2018
Daily Kos^[28]	Safe D	October 22, 2018
Fox News^[29]^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Likely D	October 19, 2018
Politico^[30]	Solid D	October 19, 2018
Governing^[31]	Safe D	October 22, 2018

Notes

↑ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	David Ige (D)	Andria Tupola (R)	Undecided
Merriman River Group	October 8–12, 2018	961	± 4.3%	52%	31%	11%
Mason-Dixon	July 6–11, 2018	800	± 3.5%	57%	34%	9%
Mason-Dixon	March 13–18, 2018	800	± 3.5%	51%	24%	25%

Results

Hawaii gubernatorial election, 2018 ^[32]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	David Ige (incumbent)	244,934	62.67%	+13.22%
	Republican	Andria Tupola	131,719	33.70%	-3.38%
	Green	Jim Brewer	10,123	2.59%	N/A
style="background-color: Template:Nonpartisan (United States)/meta/color; width: 5px;" \|	[[Nonpartisan (United States)\|Template:Nonpartisan (United States)/meta/shortname]]	Terrence Teruya	4,067	1.04%	N/A
Total votes			390,843	100.0%	N/A
	Democratic hold

References

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External links

Candidates at Vote Smart
Candidates at Ballotpedia

Official campaign websites

Official lieutenant gubernatorial campaign websites

[30] The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

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2018 Hawaii gubernatorial election

Contents

Democratic primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Polling

Results

Lieutenant Governor

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Polling

Results

Republican primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Lieutenant Governor

Candidates

Declared

Polling

Results

Green primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Results

Lieutenant Governor

Candidates

Declared

Results

Nonpartisan primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Results

Lieutenant Governor

Candidates

Declared

Results

General election

Predictions

Polling

Results

References

External links

Navigation menu

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