2018 United States Senate election in Mississippi

Not to be confused with 2018 United States Senate special election in Mississippi.

2018 United States Senate election in Mississippi

November 6, 2018
Turnout	49.66%
x150px x150px Nominee Roger Wicker David Baria Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 547,619 369,567 Percentage 58.5% 39.5%
170px County Results Wicker:      40-50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90% Baria:      40-50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
U.S. senator before election Roger Wicker Republican Elected U.S. Senator Roger Wicker Republican

The 2018 United States Senate election in Mississippi took place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Mississippi. Incumbent Republican Roger Wicker was reelected to a second full term, defeating his Democratic challenger, David Baria.

The candidate filing deadline was March 1, 2018, and the primary election was held on June 5, 2018, with a runoff on June 26 if a party's primary fails to produce a majority winner. The race took place on the same day as the nonpartisan jungle primary for the other U.S. Senate seat in Mississippi, which was vacated by Thad Cochran in the spring of 2018.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Roger Wicker, incumbent U.S. Senator
• Richard Boyanton, businessman

Withdrawn

• Chris McDaniel, state senator and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014 (running for the Class 2 U.S. Senate seat)

Endorsements

Roger Wicker
U.S. Presidents George W. Bush, 43rd President of the United States Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States Governors Phil Bryant, Mississippi Statewide Officials Greg Snowden, Speaker pro tempore of the Mississippi House of Representatives U.S. Senators Rick Santorum, former U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania Mississippi State Officials Dane Maxwell, Mayor of Pascagoula

Chris McDaniel (withdrawn)
Political operatives Tommy Barnett, treasurer of Remember Mississippi super PAC Laura Van Overschelde, Chair of the Mississippi Tea Party Grant Sowell, Chair of the Tupelo Tea Party

Results

Republican primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Roger Wicker (incumbent)	130,118	82.79%
	Republican	Richard Boyanton	27,052	17.21%
Total votes			157,170	100%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• David Baria, Mississippi House of Representatives Minority Leader
• Jensen Bohren
• Jerone Garland
• Victor G. Maurice Jr.
• Omeria Scott, state representative
• Howard Sherman, businessman

Declined

• Jeramey Anderson, state representative (running for MS-4)
• Brandon Presley, chair of the Mississippi Public Service Commission
• Bennie Thompson, U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Jensen Bohren
Organizations Jackpine Radicals Vote STEM Sustainable Politician Project Mississippi DSA

David Baria
Organizations End Citizens United Mississippi AFL-CIO Mississippi Association of Educators Sierra Club

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	David Baria	Jensen Bohren	Omeria Scott	Howard Sherman	Undecided
Triumph Campaigns	April 10–11, 2018	446	7%	4%	9%	2%	79%

Results

File:Mississippi US Senate Democratic primary, 2018.svg

Initial primary results by county:

Sherman

•   Sherman—50–60%
•   Sherman—40–50%
•   Sherman—<40%

Baria

•   Baria—<40%
•   Baria—40–50%
•   Baria—50–60%
•   Baria—60–70%
•   Baria—80–90%

Scott

•   Scott—<40%
•   Scott—40–50%
•   Scott—50–60%
•   Scott—70–80%
•   Scott—80–90%

Garland

•   Garland—50–60%

Democratic primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Howard Sherman	27,957	31.79%
	Democratic	David Baria	27,244	30.98%
	Democratic	Omeria Scott	21,278	24.20%
	Democratic	Victor G. Maurice Jr.	4,361	4.96%
	Democratic	Jerone Garland	4,266	4.85%
	Democratic	Jensen Bohren	2,825	3.21%
Total votes			87,931	100%

Runoff results

File:2018 MS US Senate Democratic runoff.svg

Primary runoff results by county:

Baria

•   >90%
•   80–90%
•   70–80%
•   60–70%
•   50–60%

Sherman

•   50–60%
•   60–70%
•   70–80%
•   80–90%

Democratic primary runoff results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	David Baria	44,156	58.64%
	Democratic	Howard Sherman	31,149	41.36%
Total votes			75,305	100%

Independents and third party candidates

Libertarian Party

Declared

• Danny Bedwell, candidate for MS-01 in 2012 and 2014

Reform Party

Declared

• Shawn O'Hara, perennial candidate

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Solid R	September 29, 2017
Inside Elections	Solid R	September 29, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Safe R	September 27, 2017
Fox News	Likely R^	July 9, 2018
CNN	Solid R	July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics	Safe R	June 2018

^Highest rating given

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2018
Candidate	Total receipts	Total disbursements	Cash on hand
Roger Wicker (R)	$5,349,028	$3,831,418	$3,138,044
David Baria (D)	$532,629	$528,325	$72,922
Source: Federal Election Commission

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Roger Wicker (R)	David Baria (D)	Danny Bedwell (L)	Other	Undecided
Change Research	November 2–4, 2018	1,003	–	48%	40%	5%	3%	–
Marist College	October 13–18, 2018	511 LV	± 6.1%	57%	31%	2%	2%	9%
				60%	32%	–	2%	7%
		856 RV	± 4.7%	54%	30%	3%	2%	10%
				57%	32%	–	2%	9%
SurveyMonkey	September 9–24, 2018	985	± 4.3%	43%	29%	–	–	27%
Triumph Campaigns	July 30–31, 2018	2,100	± 3.5%	53%	32%	1%	2%	12%
Triumph Campaigns	April 10–11, 2018	1,000	± 3.0%	48%	31%	–	–	21%

Results

United States Senate election in Mississippi, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Roger Wicker (incumbent)	547,619	58.49%	+1.33%
	Democratic	David Baria	369,567	39.47%	-1.08%
	Libertarian	Danny Bedwell	12,981	1.39%	N/A
	Reform	Shawn O'Hara	6,048	0.65%	-0.41%
Total votes			936,215	100%	N/A
	Republican hold

External links

• Candidates at Vote Smart
• Candidates at Ballotpedia
• Campaign finance at FEC
• Campaign finance at Center for Responsive Politics

Official campaign websites

• David Baria (D) for Senate
• Danny Bedwell (L) for Senate
• Roger Wicker (R) for Senate