2024 United States elections

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2024 United States elections
Presidential election year
Election day November 5
Presidential election
Electoral vote
Template:2024 United States presidential election imagemap
The electoral map for the 2024 election, based on populations from the 2020 census
Senate elections
Seats contested 34 of the 100 seats
(32 Class I seats, 1 Class II special election seat, 1 class I special and general election seat)
Template:2024 United States Senate elections imagemap
Map of the 2024 Senate races
     Democratic incumbent      Democratic incumbent retiring
     Republican incumbent      Republican incumbent retiring
     Independent incumbent      Independent incumbent retiring
     No election
House elections
Seats contested All 435 voting-members
All six non-voting delegates
400px
Map of the 2024 House races
     Democratic incumbent      Democratic incumbent retiring
     Republican incumbent      Republican incumbent retiring
     No incumbent
Gubernatorial elections
Seats contested 13
Template:2024 United States gubernatorial elections imagemap
Map of the 2024 gubernatorial elections
     Term-limited or retiring Democrat
     Republican incumbent      Term-limited or retiring Republican
     New Progressive incumbent lost renomination
     Nonpartisan      No election

The 2024 United States elections are scheduled to be held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024. During this presidential election year, the president and vice president will be elected. In addition, all 435 seats in the United States House of Representatives and 34 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate will be contested to determine the membership of the 119th United States Congress. Thirteen state and territorial governorships and numerous other state and local elections will also be contested.

Issues

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Election interference

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken confirmed the US has seen evidence of Chinese attempts to “influence and arguably interfere” with the upcoming US elections, despite an earlier commitment from leader Xi Jinping not to do so.[1][2]

Abortion

This will be the first presidential election held after the overturn of Roe v. Wade, and the third overall election cycle after the 2022 midterm elections and the 2023 off-year elections. Republican-controlled states predominantly passed near-total bans on abortion in the aftermath of the Supreme Court's June 2022 Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization decision. By April 2023, abortion was "largely illegal" throughout much of the United States.[3] According to the Kaiser Family Foundation, there were 15 states that have de jure early stage bans on abortion explicitly without exceptions for rape or incest: Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Florida, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, West Virginia, and Wisconsin.[3] In states with laws granting exceptions, it was reported de facto that "very few exceptions to these new abortion bans have been granted" and that patients who had been raped or otherwise qualified for exceptions were being turned away, citing "ambiguous laws and the threat of criminal penalties make them unwilling to test the rules".[4]

Democrats outperformed Biden's results in the 2020 U.S. presidential election in several 2022 House special elections, with abortion cited as a major contributor to their victories.[5] Then during the 2023 elections, both Democratic and Republican operatives attributed the Democrats' overperformance streak to the growing bipartisan support of broad abortion rights in the wake of Dobbs decision.[6][7] Thus, many conservative political analysts and commentators called a continued Republican alliance with the anti-abortion movement "untenable" and an "electoral disaster", and urged the party to favor abortion rights.[8] Some issue polling has shown Donald Trump, the likely Republican nominee, outrunning his party and closing the gap with Democrats on the issue of abortion, but no election data with Trump directly on the ballot has happened to verify these results.[9]

Mark Robinson, who once advocated for a complete abortion ban without exceptions, underwent a rhetorical shift in his North Carolina gubernatorial campaign. In 2018, he had labeled abortion as 'murder' and 'genocide,' but as the leading Republican candidate for governor of North Carolina in 2024, he avoided mentioning abortion on the campaign trail. However, his stance softened following the Supreme Court's 2022 Dobbs decision and the passage of North Carolina's 12-week abortion ban in May 2023. Robinson, who had shifted to emphasizing the term 'life' instead of 'abortion,' expressed support for 'heartbeat' legislation with exceptions for rape, incest, and the mother's life. Despite his past harsh rhetoric, Robinson's then-current position reflected a more nuanced approach to anti-abortion legislation.[10]

Indictments

On November 18, 2022, three days after former president and Republican candidate Donald Trump announced his 2024 re-election bid, U.S. Attorney General Merrick Garland appointed Jack Smith as special counsel to investigate Trump's role in the January 6 U.S. Capitol attack and Trump's mishandling of government documents, including classified documents.

On March 30, 2023, Trump was indicted by a grand jury in Manhattan for his alleged role in a scandal stemming from hush money payments made to Stormy Daniels before the 2016 presidential election.[11]

On May 10, 2023, Republican New York Congressman George Santos was indicted on federal charges of fraud and money laundering.[12]

On June 8, 2023, Trump was indicted on 37 federal charges related to his alleged mishandling of classified documents by the office of the Smith special counsel investigation.[13]

On August 1, 2023, a Washington, D.C., federal grand jury indicted Trump again on four felony counts of conspiracy and obstruction related to Trump's role in the January 6 attack and his efforts to overturn the 2020 election.[14]

On August 14, a Georgia grand jury indicted Trump on racketeering and other felonies committed in an effort to overturn the state's 2020 election results and the Trump–Raffensperger phone call.[15][16] As of September 15, 2023, Trump has pleaded not guilty to all the charges.

On August 11, four months after incumbent president and Democratic candidate Joe Biden announced his re-election bid, Garland appointed David C. Weiss to serve as special counsel to investigate Biden's son, Hunter Biden, who was indicted on September 14, 2023, on three federal firearms-related charges.[17][18]

On September 22, 2023, Democratic U.S. Senator Bob Menendez of New Jersey and his wife Nadine were both indicted on bribery charges.[19][20]

On December 19, 2023, the Colorado Supreme Court removed Trump from the state's 2024 Republican primary, citing the Fourteenth Amendment's ban on candidates who engage in insurrections.[21] This decision was later overturned by the US Supreme Court on March 4, 2024.[22]

Federal elections

Presidential election

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The 2024 United States presidential election will be the 60th quadrennial U.S. presidential election. This will be the first presidential election under the electoral vote distribution determined by the 2020 census. Presidential electors who will elect the President and Vice President of the United States will be chosen; a simple majority (270) of the 538 electoral votes are required to win the election. President Joe Biden ran for a second term, with Vice President Kamala Harris once again serving as his running mate; Biden later withdrew in July 2024.[23] Other individuals have launched their candidacies in the 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries, though the last time a sitting president eligible for re-election did not win re-nomination from their respective party was in the 1968 presidential election.[24]

In November 2022, former President Donald Trump announced his candidacy in the 2024 presidential election.[25] Other candidates who have entered the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries include former South Carolina governor and former U.S. Ambassador to the U.N. Nikki Haley and current Florida governor Ron DeSantis, who have since suspended their campaigns.[26] The first Republican presidential debate was held on August 23, 2023, and the first primary contest was the 2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses, which was held on January 15, 2024.[27]

In October 2023, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announced his run as an independent presidential candidate.[28] By the next month, Kennedy's polling was at the highest levels for a candidate outside the two major parties since Ross Perot in 1992.[29][30]

Congressional elections

Senate elections

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All 33 seats in Senate Class 1 and one seat in Senate Class 2 will be up for election; at least one additional special election will take place to fill vacancies that arise during the 118th Congress. Democrats control the majority in the closely-divided Senate following the 2022 U.S. Senate elections, but they will have to defend 23 seats in 2024. Three Democratic-held seats up for election are in the heavily Republican-leaning states of Montana, Ohio, and West Virginia, all of which were won comfortably by Trump in both 2016 and 2020.[31] Other potential Republican targets include seats in Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Maryland, while Democrats may target Republican-held seats in Florida and Texas.[32]

Special elections

Two special elections are scheduled to fill the unexpired terms of senators who vacated their seats during the 118th Congress:

House of Representatives elections

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All 435 voting seats in the United States House of Representatives will be up for election. Additionally, elections will be held to select the non-voting members who represent the District of Columbia and all five permanently-inhabited U.S. territories in the House of Representatives. Republicans hold a narrow majority in the House of Representatives following the 2022 U.S. House elections.[38]

Special elections

Six special elections to the House of Representatives are scheduled to be held in 2024.

State elections

Gubernatorial elections

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Elections will be held for the governorships of eleven of the fifty U.S. states and two U.S. territories. Special elections may be held for vacancies in the other states and territories, if required by respective state or territorial constitutions.

Attorney general elections

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Ten states will hold attorney general elections.

Secretary of State elections

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Seven states will hold elections.

State Treasurer elections

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Ten states will hold elections.

Legislative elections

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Most legislative chambers will hold regularly-scheduled elections in 2024. The exceptions are the Michigan Senate, Minnesota Senate, and both legislative chambers in the states of Alabama, Louisiana, Maryland, Mississippi, New Jersey, and Virginia. In chambers that use staggered terms, only a portion of the seats in the chamber will be up for election.

Other executive and judicial elections

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In addition to gubernatorial elections, various other executive and judicial positions will hold elections at the state level in 2024.

Local elections

Mayoral elections

A number of major U.S. cities have held mayoral elections in 2024:

Eligible incumbents

Ineligible or retiring incumbents

Seats that changed parties

Tribal elections

In January, the Fort McDowell Yavapai Nation elected Sandra Pattea tribal president,[84] ousting long-term tribal leader Bernadine Burnette, who first joined the tribal council in 1992.[85] Also in January, the Shakopee Mdewakanton Sioux Community elevated Cole Miller from vice chair to tribal chairman.[86]

In February, the Confederated Tribes of Coos, Lower Umpqua and Siuslaw Indians elected Doug Barrett tribal chief in a special election to fill the remainder of Donald "Doc" Slyter's term, which expires in April 2030. Slyter died in November 2023.[87][88]

In March, the Apache Tribe of Oklahoma reelected Durell Cooper III as tribal chairman.[89]

In April, the Mille Lacs Band of Ojibwe elected Virgil Wind as chief executive, succeeding Melanie Benjamin who decided not to run for a seventh term.[90]

In May, Forrest Tahdooahnippah was elected as chair of the Comanche Nation, replacing Mark Woommavovah who declined to run for reelection after being censured for his approval of a refinery project on tribal land; Diana Doyebi-Sovo was elected vice-chair.[91] The Wasco, part of the Confederated Tribes of Warm Springs, elected Jefferson Greene chief in a special election.[92]

In June, the Pascua Yaqui Tribe in Arizona elected Julian Hernandez tribal council chair.[93]

Referendums

In June, the Cherokee Nation rejected a referendum calling for a constitutional convention to amend or replace the tribe's constitution by a margin of 69.5% to 30.5%.[94] Also in June, the Osage Nation voters approved 76.9% to 23.1% a constitutional amendment allowing the Osage Congress to reject executive appointees during a special session.[95]

Table of state, territorial, and federal results

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This table shows the partisan results of presidential, congressional, gubernatorial, and state legislative races held in each state and territory in 2024. Note that not all states and territories hold gubernatorial, state legislative, and Senate elections in 2024. The five territories and Washington, D.C., do not elect members of the Senate, and the territories do not take part in presidential elections; instead, they each elect one non-voting member of the House. Nebraska's unicameral legislature and the governorship and legislature of American Samoa are elected on a non-partisan basis, and political party affiliation is not listed.

State/Territory 2022
PVI[96]
Before 2024 elections After 2024 elections
Governor State leg. U.S. Senate U.S. House Pres.[lower-alpha 1] Governor State leg. U.S. Senate U.S. House
Alabama R+15 Rep Rep Rep Rep 6–1 Rep Rep Rep
Alaska R+8 Rep Coalition[lower-alpha 2] Rep Dem 1–0 Rep Rep
Arizona R+2 Dem Rep Split D/I[lower-alpha 3] Rep 6–3 Dem
Arkansas R+16 Rep Rep Rep Rep 4–0 Rep Rep
California D+13 Dem Dem Dem Dem 40–12 Dem
Colorado D+4 Dem Dem Dem Dem 5–3 Dem Dem
Connecticut D+7 Dem Dem Dem Dem 5–0 Dem
Delaware D+7 Dem Dem Dem Dem 1–0
Florida R+3 Rep Rep Rep Rep 20–8 Rep
Georgia R+3 Rep Rep Dem Rep 9–5 Rep Dem
Hawaii D+14 Dem Dem Dem Dem 2–0 Dem
Idaho R+18 Rep Rep Rep Rep 2–0 Rep Rep
Illinois D+7 Dem Dem Dem Dem 14–3 Dem Dem
Indiana R+11 Rep Rep Rep Rep 7–2
Iowa R+6 Rep Rep Rep Rep 4–0 Rep Rep
Kansas R+10 Dem Rep Rep Rep 3–1 Dem Rep
Kentucky R+16 Dem Rep Rep Rep 5–1 Dem Rep
Louisiana R+12 Rep Rep Rep Rep 5–1 Rep Rep Rep
Maine D+2 Dem Dem Split R/I[lower-alpha 4] Dem 2–0 Dem
Maryland D+14 Dem Dem Dem Dem 7–1 Dem Dem
Massachusetts D+15 Dem Dem Dem Dem 9–0 Dem
Michigan R+1 Dem Dem Dem Dem 7–6 Dem
Minnesota D+1 Dem Dem Dem Split 4–4 Dem
Mississippi R+11 Rep Rep Rep Rep 3–1 Rep Rep
Missouri R+10 Rep Rep Rep Rep 6–2
Montana R+11 Rep Rep Split Rep 2–0
Nebraska R+13 Rep NP/R[lower-alpha 5] Rep Rep 3–0 Rep NP/R[lower-alpha 5]
Nevada R+1 Rep Dem Dem Dem 3–1 Rep
New Hampshire D+1 Rep Rep Dem Dem 2–0 Dem
New Jersey D+6 Dem Dem Dem Dem 9–3 Dem Dem
New Mexico D+3 Dem Dem Dem Dem 3–0 Dem
New York D+10 Dem Dem Dem Dem 16–10 Dem
North Carolina R+3 Dem Rep Rep Split 7–7 Rep
North Dakota R+20 Rep Rep Rep Rep 1–0
Ohio R+6 Rep Rep Split Rep 10–5 Rep
Oklahoma R+20 Rep Rep Rep Rep 5–0 Rep Rep
Oregon D+6 Dem Dem Dem Dem 4–2 Dem Dem
Pennsylvania R+2 Dem Split Dem Dem 9–8 Dem
Rhode Island D+8 Dem Dem Dem Dem 2–0 Dem
South Carolina R+8 Rep Rep Rep Rep 6–1 Rep Rep
South Dakota R+16 Rep Rep Rep Rep 1–0 Rep Rep
Tennessee R+14 Rep Rep Rep Rep 8–1 Rep
Texas R+5 Rep Rep Rep Rep 25–13 Rep
Utah R+13 Rep Rep Rep Rep 4–0
Vermont D+16 Rep Dem Split D/I[lower-alpha 6] Dem 1–0
Virginia D+3 Rep Dem Dem Dem 6–5 Rep Dem
Washington D+8 Dem Dem Dem Dem 8–2
West Virginia R+22 Rep Rep Split R/I[lower-alpha 7] Rep 2–0
Wisconsin R+2 Dem Rep Split Rep 6–2 Dem
Wyoming R+25 Rep Rep Rep Rep 1–0 Rep
United States Even Rep Rep[lower-alpha 2] Dem Rep
Washington, D.C. D+43 Dem[lower-alpha 8] Dem[lower-alpha 8] N/A Dem Dem[lower-alpha 8] N/A
American Samoa N/A NP/D[lower-alpha 9] NP Rep N/A NP NP
Guam Dem Dem Rep [lower-alpha 10] Dem
N. Mariana Islands Ind Coalition[lower-alpha 11] Dem N/A Ind
Puerto Rico PNP/D[lower-alpha 12] PDP PNP/R[lower-alpha 13]
U.S. Virgin Islands Dem Dem Dem Dem
State/Territory PVI Governor State leg. U.S. Senate U.S. House Pres. Governor State leg. U.S. Senate U.S. House
Before 2024 elections After 2024 elections

Violent threats

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The election campaign has been marked by widespread doxxing, swatting, and threats against politicians and activists, with a particular series of incidents starting in December 2023.[98][99][100]

On July 13, 2024, during a campaign rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, presidential candidate Donald Trump was shot at in a failed assassination attempt. The gunfire caused minor damage to Trump's upper right ear, while one spectator was killed and two others were critically injured, with one later dying of injuries.[101]

Notes

  1. This column reflects the individual who won a plurality of the state's popular vote in the 2024 presidential election.
  2. 2.0 2.1 A coalition of 19 Republicans, 2 Democrats, and 2 Independents controlled the Alaska House of Representatives, while a grand coalition of 9 Democrats and 8 Republicans controlled the Alaska Senate.
  3. One of Arizona's senators, Mark Kelly, is a Democrat. The other senator from Arizona, Kyrsten Sinema, was elected as a Democrat but registered as an Independent in December 2022.
  4. One of Maine's senators, Susan Collins, is a Republican. The other senator from Maine, Angus King, is an independent who has caucused with Democrats since taking office in 2013.
  5. 5.0 5.1 Though a majority of its members identify as Republicans, the unicameral Nebraska Legislature is officially nonpartisan.
  6. One of Vermont's senators, Peter Welch, is a Democrat. The other senator from Vermont, Bernie Sanders, was elected as an independent and has caucused with Democrats since taking office in 2007.
  7. One of West Virginia's senators, Shelley Moore Capito, is a Republican. The other senator from West Virginia, Joe Manchin, was elected as a Democrat but registered as an Independent in May 2024.
  8. 8.0 8.1 8.2 The federal district does not have a governor or state legislature but elects the mayor of Washington, D.C., as well as the Council of the District of Columbia.
  9. Although elections for governor of American Samoa are non-partisan, Governor Lemanu Peleti Mauga affiliates with the Democratic Party.
  10. Although Guam does not have a vote in the Electoral College, the territory has held a presidential advisory vote for every presidential election since 1980.
  11. A coalition of independents and Democrats control the Northern Mariana Islands House of Representatives and Senate.[97]
  12. Puerto Rican Governor Pedro Pierluisi is a member of the Puerto Rican New Progressive Party, but affiliates with the Democratic Party at the national level.
  13. Puerto Rico's Resident Commissioner, Jenniffer González, was elected as a member of the New Progressive Party and has caucused with Republicans since taking office in 2017.

References

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  21. Colorado Supreme Court removes Trump from 2024 ballot CNN, December 19, 2023
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  61. https://www.brweeklypress.com/post/broome-kicks-off-re-election-campaign-in-baton-rouge
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