Opinion polling for the Israeli legislative election, 2009

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This article provides a collection of opinion polls that were conducted relating to the Israeli legislative election, 2009.

Notes

  • Israeli law requires a 2% threshold (yielding a minimum of two seats) for a party to be seated in the Knesset. Therefore, surveys that poll only one seat for a party reveal limited support that would not actually result in their seating.
  • Where contradictions in sources are found, the table lists the result from the original source, where available, or the majority of other sources. These are noted and referenced below.
  • The three main Arab parties (United Arab List-Ta'al, Hadash, and Balad) are grouped together when no source reveals how they were polled separately. On December 22, 2008, the Israeli Elections Committee delivered a court order mandating that media list these parties by name.[1]
  • In December 2008, the National Union was reconstituted as a separate party from The Jewish Home. Prior to then, surveys polled these groups collectively.

Polling

Date Media Pollster Kadima Labor Shas Likud Yisrael Beiteinu UAL
-Ta'al		 Hadash Balad Jewish Home National Union Gil UTJ Meretz Greens Other Sources
Feb 6, 2009 Channel 1 Midgam Research 23 16 10 28 19 4 4 2 3 3 0 5 5 0 [2]
Feb 6, 2009 Channel 10 Dialog 25 14 9 27 19 3 3 2 2 4 0 6 6 0 [3][4]
Feb 6, 2009 Haaretz Dialog 25 14 9 27 18 3 3 2 2 4 0 6 7 0 [5][6][7][8][9]
Feb 6, 2009 The Jerusalem Post Smith 23 15-16 10 26 17-18 3-4 4 2-4 3-4 3-4 0 5 5 0 [5][9][10]
Feb 6, 2009 Maariv TNS Teleseker 23 17 10 26 19 4 4 2 3 3 2 5 6 0 [5][9][11][12]
Feb 6, 2009 Yedioth Ahronoth Dahaf 23 16 10 25 19 3 4 2 3 4 0 6 5 0 [5][9][13][14][15]
Feb 5, 2009 Channel 2 Panels 25 14 10 26 18 3 4 2 3 4 0 5 6 0 [9][16][17][18][19]
Feb 5, 2009 Globes Geocartography 22-23 15-16 10 26 20-21 3 5 0 2 6 0 5 5 0 [5][9][18][20][21][22][23]
Feb 5, 2009 Israel Hayom Gal Hadash (New Wave) 24 16 9 30 17 3 5 0 2 3 0 5 6 0 [18][24][25][26]
Feb 5, 2009 Israel Radio's "Hakol Diburim" (It's All Talk) Shvakim Panorama 21 16 11 25 16 3 4 2 4 4 2 7 5 0 [5][9][18][24][27][28]
Feb 5, 2009 Makor Rishon Maagar Mochot 24 13 10 27 18 9 3 2 1 6 5 1 Meimad 1 [9][18]
Feb 4, 2009 Channel 2's "Mishal Cham" Maagar Mochot 23 13 10 26 19 2 4 3 3 2 1 6 6 1 Ale Yarok 1 [29]
Feb 4, 2009 Maariv TNS Teleseker 23 17 10 27 17 4 4 0 3 4 2 5 6 0 [5][18][24][30][31][32][33]
Feb 3, 2009 Maagar Mochot 23 12-13 10-11 30-31 17-18 10 3 2 0 6 4 1 [24][32][34]
Feb 3, 2009 Globes Geocartography 21 17 11 24-25 17 2 2 2 2 6 2 5 8-9 0 [18][20][24][32][35][36][37]
Feb 2, 2009 Channel 1 Midgam Research 23 17 10 28 18 2 4 2 4 3 0 5 4 0 [5][38][39][40]
Feb 2, 2009 Channel 2 Panels 24 14 11 27 17 4 3 2 3 4 0 5 6 0 [20][38][41][42]
Jan 30, 2009 Maariv TNS Teleseker 23 17 10 28 16 4 4 0 4 3 0 5 6 0 [5][43][44][45]
Jan 29, 2009 Channel 2 Panels 23 13 10 29 16 4 4 2 3 4 0 5 5 2 [46][47]
Jan 29, 2009 Globes Geocartography 23 15 10 31 16 0 4 0 3 5 0 6 7 0 [45][48][49]
Jan 29, 2009 Haaretz/Channel 10 Dialog 25 14 10 28 15 4 3 2 3 4 2 5 5 0 [5][20][45][50][51][52][53]
Jan 28, 2009 Israel Radio's "Hakol Diburim" (It's All Talk) Shvakim Panorama 20 16 11 29 16 3 3 3 3 3 2 7 4 0 [45][54]
Jan 27, 2009 Channel 2's "Mishal Cham" Maagar Mochot 22 13 10 34 16 3 4 3 3 2 0 5 5 0 [34][45][55][56]
Jan 26, 2009 Channel 2 Panels 22 15 11 29 16 4 4 2 0 5 0 6 6 0 [20][57][58]
Jan 25, 2009 Channel 1 Midgam Research 22 17 10 30 16 3 3 3 3 3 0 5 5 0 [20][59]
Jan 23, 2009 Channel 1's Friday Diary Shvakim Panorama 20 17 11 29 14 3 3 4 3 3 0 7 6 0 [60][61]
Jan 23, 2009 Maariv TNS Teleseker 24 16 9 28 16 3 4 2 4 2 0 6 6 0 [5][62][63][64]
Jan 23, 2009 Yedioth Ahronoth Dahaf 25 17[65] 10 29 14 3 4 2 2 3 0 6 5 0 [5][20][64][66]
Jan 22, 2009 Channel 2 Panels 24 15 10 30 15 4 3 2 2 4 0 5 6 0 [67][68]
Jan 22, 2009 Globes Geocartography 21 15 9 32 16 4 3 3 4 3 0 5 5 0 [64][69][70]
Jan 22, 2009 Israel Hayom Gal Hadash (New Wave) 25 15 9 35 12 3 4 2 2 2 0 5 6 0 [64][71][72]
Jan 20, 2009 Channel 1 Geocartography 21 15 9 33 13 4 3 3 4 3 0 7 5 0 [73]
Jan 20, 2009 Channel 2's "Mishal Cham" Maagar Mochot 22 14 11 30 16 2 4 3 2 2 0 5 7 0 Meimad 1, Ale Yarok 1 [34][56][64][74]
Jan 19, 2009 Channel 2 Panels 24 14 10 30 15 3 4 2 2 4 0 5 5 2 [75][76]
Jan 18, 2009 Channel 2 Maagar Mochot 23 15 12 31 13 3 4 2 3 1 1 5 6 1 [5][34][56][77][78]
Jan 18, 2009 Channel 10 Dialog 26 14 10 29 14 3 3 2 2 4 0 5 6 2 [5][20][79]
Jan 16, 2009 Haaretz Dialog 25 16 9 29 12 3 3 2 3 3 0 6 7 2 [80][81][82]
Jan 16, 2009 Maariv TNS Teleseker 26 17 9 28 14 4 4 2 3 3 0 5 5 0 [80][83][84]
Jan 15, 2009 Channel 2 Panels 27 15 8 29 13 3 4 3 2 4 0 5 5 2 [85][86]
Jan 15, 2009 Globes Geocartography 22 16 10 33 14 3 3 4 3 0 0 7 5 0 [87][88]
Jan 14, 2009 Israel Radio's "Hakol Diburim" (It's All Talk) Shvakim Panorama 21 15 10 28 15 4 3 3 3 3 0 7 5 3 [20][80][89][90][91]
Jan 13, 2009 Channel 2's "Mishal Cham" Maagar Mochot 26 16 10 28 14 3 4 3 3 2 0 5 6 0 [34][56][78][92]
Jan 12, 2009 Channel 2 Panels 28 13 8 33 13 2 4 3 0 4 0 5 5 2 [20][93][94]
Jan 9, 2009 Channel 1's Friday Diary Shvakim Panorama 22 16 10 31 14 10 4 0 0 7 6 0 [95]
Jan 9, 2009 Maariv TNS Teleseker 27 17 9 29 13 10 4 0 0 6 5 0 [5][96]
Jan 8, 2009 Knesset Channel Panels 27 15 9 31 12 0 4 3 2 4 0 4 5 2 [97][98]
Jan 8, 2009 Israel Hayom Gal Hadash (New Wave) 27 15 10 33 10 2 4 4 0 3 0 5 7 0 [20][99][100]
Jan 7, 2009 Channel 10 Dialog 27 16 11 31 10 3[101] 3[101] 0[101] 2[102] 3 0 5 7 0 [103][104]
Jan 7, 2009 Radius Radio 100FM Geocartography 27 12 7 33 11 10 5 3 0 4 6 2 [105]
Jan 6, 2009 Channel 2's "Mishal Cham" Maagar Mochot 25 17 10 32 10 9 4 2 0 5 6 0 [34][56][78][106]
Jan 5, 2009 Channel 2 Panels 28 15 9 31 13 4 3 2 2 4 0 4 5 0 [20][107][108]
Jan 2, 2009 The Jerusalem Post Smith 29 15 10 23 12 10 5 2 0 6 6 2 [20][109]
Jan 2, 2009 Maariv TNS Teleseker 28 16 11 28 12 10 4 0 0 5 6 0 [5][96][110][111]
Jan 1, 2009 Channel 2 Panels 27 14 8 30 11 10 3 3 0 6 7 1 [112][113]
Jan 1, 2009 Globes Geocartography 22 12 8 38 15 10 3 0 0 4 6 2 [114][115][116]
Jan 1, 2009 Haaretz Dialog 27 16 9 32 11 4[117] 4[117] 2[117] 3 0 0 5 7 0 [5][20][116][118][119][120]
Dec 30, 2008 Channel 2's "Mishal Cham" Maagar Mochot 25 15 10 31 10 10 4 1 2 5 5 2 [34][56][78]
Dec 29, 2008 Channel 2 Panels 29 14 8 29 13 10 3 3 0 4 7 0 [121][122]
Dec 28, 2008 Haaretz/Channel 10 Dialog[123] 28 16 10 30 10 3 4 3 2 1 5 7 1 [20][34][56][78][124][125]
Dec 26, 2008 Maariv TNS Teleseker 30 11 10 29 12 10 3 2 5 7 0 [126][127][128]
Dec 25, 2008 Channel 2 Panels 27 11 10 30 10 3 4 3 6 0 4 7 2 Hatikva 3 [129][130]
Dec 25, 2008 Haaretz Dialog 26 11 13 30 11 3 3 2 6 2 5 8 0 [5][128][131][132]
Dec 25, 2008 Yedioth Ahronoth Dahaf 26 12 10 30 12 9 5 0 6 7 3 [128][133]
Dec 24, 2008 Channel 1 Midgam Research 25 11 10 31 12 10 5 0 7 6 3 [128]
Dec 24, 2008 Channel 2 Maagar Mochot 25 10 12 29 12 3 4 2 4 1 6 8 4 [20]
Dec 24, 2008 Israel Radio's "Hakol Diburim" (It's All Talk) Shvakim Panorama 23 14 12 32 12 10 4 0 7 6 0 [91][128][134][135]
Dec 24, 2008 Radius Radio 100FM Geocartography 23 9 9 35 11 10 5 0 5 10 3 [128][136]
Dec 23, 2008 Channel 1 Geocartography 26 9-10 8-9 34 10 4 3 3 6 0 6 9 0-2 [137][138][139]
Dec 23, 2008 Channel 2's "Mishal Cham" Maagar Mochot 25 11 12 31 13 9 5 2 5 6 1 [34][56][78][128][140]
Dec 22, 2008 Channel 2 Panels 29 10 10 28 11 10 5 0 5 6 3 Hatikva 3 [141][142]
Dec 19, 2008 Maariv TNS Teleseker 30 12 9 30 12 4 3 3 5 0 5 7 0 [5][20][143][144][145]
Dec 18, 2008 Channel 2 Panels 30 10 10 29 11 9 6 0 6 6 3 [146][147]
Dec 16, 2008 Channel 2's "Mishal Cham" Maagar Mochot 25 10 12 29 12 9 4 1 6 8 4 [148][149]
Dec 15, 2008 Channel 2 Panels 27 13 11 31 10 10 5 0 5 6 2 [150][151]
Dec 11, 2008 Maariv TNS Teleseker 28 12 9 31 11 10 6 0 5 5 3 [5][145][152][153][154]
Dec 10, 2008 Haaretz Dialog 27 12 9 36 9 4 4 3[155] 4 0 6 6 0 [5][20][154][156][157][158]
Dec 10, 2008 Israel Radio's "Hakol Diburim" (It's All Talk) Shvakim Panorama 20-21 14-15 12 34-35 11 9-10 4 0 7 6 0 [154][159][160][161]
Dec 10, 2008 Yedioth Ahronoth Dahaf 24 11 11 31 10 10 6 0 7 7 3 [5][154][162]
Dec 4, 2008 Knesset Channel Panels 27 7 11 34 10 10 6 0 5 7 3 [163]
Dec 1, 2008 Channel 2 Panels 25 6 12 33 11 10 7 0 5 7 4 [164][165]
Dec 1, 2008 Israel Hayom Gal Hadash (New Wave) 26 8 10 35 10 10 5 2 5 7 2 [5][166][167]
Nov 27, 2008 Knesset Channel Panels 26 7 10 35 9 10 6 0 6 8 3 [168]
Nov 25, 2008 Channel 1 Geocartography 25 7 11 37 8 9 4 0 8 8 3 [5][139][169][170][171]
Nov 20, 2008 Haaretz Dialog 28 10 10 34 10 4 5 2 4 0 6 7 0 [5][158][172][173][174][175]
Nov 20, 2008 Yedioth Ahronoth Dahaf 26 8 11 32 9 11 6 0 7 7 3 [5][174][175][176][177]
Nov 19, 2008 Israel Radio's "Hakol Diburim" (It's All Talk) Maagar Mochot 23 8 13 34 10 9 7 0 5 10 1 [149][174][175][178][179]
Nov 13, 2008 Israel Hayom Gal Hadash (New Wave) 28 11 10 33 7 10 6 0 5 7 3 [180][181][182]
Oct 31, 2008 The Jerusalem Post Smith 27 14 11 27 11 10 9 0 6 5 0 [5][183][184]
Oct 30, 2008 Haaretz Dialog 31 10 10 31 11 2 6 3 3 0 6 5 2 [5][183][185][186]
Oct 30, 2008 Israel Hayom Gal Hadash (New Wave) 30 13 10 31 8 10 6 0 5 5 2 [182][183][187]
Oct 29, 2008 Israel Radio's "Hakol Diburim" (It's All Talk) Shvakim Panorama 22-23 16-17 11-12 25-26 10-11 9-10 7-8 1-2 6-7 5-6 2-3 [161][183][188][189][190]
Oct 28, 2008 Channel 1 Geocartography 32 10 9 28 9 10 [5]
Oct 27, 2008 Maariv TNS Teleseker 31 11 8 29 11 11 7 0 4 5 3 [5][191][192]
Oct 27, 2008 Yedioth Ahronoth[193] Dahaf 29 11 11 26 9 4 3 3 7 2 7 6 2 [5][20][191][194][195][196]
Sep 11, 2008 Maariv TNS Teleseker 25 14 9 29 12 10 8 0 5 4 2 Social Justice 2 [197]
Aug 29, 2008 Maariv TNS Teleseker 23 12 9 31 12 10 8 0 6 5 0 Social Justice 4 [197]
Aug 1, 2008 Haaretz Dialog 26 14 11 25 11 11 6 0 7 5 2 Social Justice 2 [5][198]
Aug 1, 2008 Maariv TNS Teleseker 20 17 9 33 12 10 6 0 4 4 0 Social Justice 5 [5][197][198]
Aug 1, 2008 Yedioth Ahronoth Dahaf 29 14 10 30 8 10 6 0 6 5 0 Social Justice 2 [5][198]
Mar 28, 2006 Current Composition 29 19 12 12 11 4 3 3 3 6 7 6 5 0

References

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  155. ↑ The Independent Media Review Analysis reports that "the Arabs were not polled because it is a Moslem holiday - their results were assumed to be unchanged from previous poll." (41740, 41770)
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  158. ↑ 158.0 158.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  159. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  160. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  161. ↑ 161.0 161.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  162. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  163. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  164. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  165. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  166. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.[dead link]
  167. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  168. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  169. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  170. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  171. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  172. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  173. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  174. ↑ 174.0 174.1 174.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  175. ↑ 175.0 175.1 175.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  176. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  177. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  178. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  179. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  180. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.[dead link]
  181. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  182. ↑ 182.0 182.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  183. ↑ 183.0 183.1 183.2 183.3 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  184. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  185. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  186. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  187. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.[dead link]
  188. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  189. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  190. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  191. ↑ 191.0 191.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  192. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  193. ↑ IsraelNationalNews.com reports that this survey was conducted by Maariv, but is contradicted by the original and every other source.
  194. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  195. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  196. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  197. ↑ 197.0 197.1 197.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  198. ↑ 198.0 198.1 198.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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