Segal–Cover score

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A Segal–Cover score is an attempt to measure the "perceived qualifications and ideology" of United States Supreme Court justices. The scores are created by analyzing pre-confirmation newspaper editorials regarding the nominations from The New York Times, Washington Post, Chicago Tribune, Los Angeles Times, St. Louis Post-Dispatch, and The Wall Street Journal. Each nominee receives two scores that range from 0 to 1:

The Segal–Cover scoring was introduced by Jeffrey Segal and Albert Cover (both of Stony Brook University) in their 1989 article "Ideological Values and the Votes of U.S. Supreme Court Justices".[1][2] The scores have been updated by Segal to cover all nominees from Hugo Black in 1937 to the 2010 nomination of Elena Kagan.[3] Segal and Cover found that the scores are strongly correlated with the subsequent votes of the justices. Because the scores are based on perceptions before the nominee takes a seat on the Court, they also provide "reliable measures of the ideological values of Supreme Court justices that are independent of the votes they later cast."[1]

The Segal–Cover perceived qualifications and ideology scores for all nominees to the Court from 1937–2012:

Nom.
Order
Nominee Chief
Justice
Senate
Vote
Ideology
Score
Qualifications
Score
1 Hugo Black 67 – 18 0.875 0.160
2 Stanley F. Reed Voice Vote 0.725 0.875
3 Felix Frankfurter Voice Vote 0.665 0.965
4 William O. Douglas 62 – 4 0.730 0.820
5 Frank Murphy Voice Vote 1.000 0.650
6 Harlan F. Stone CJ Voice Vote 0.300 1.000
7 James F. Byrnes Voice Vote 0.330 0.800
8 Robert H. Jackson Voice Vote 1.000 0.915
9 Wiley B. Rutledge Voice Vote 1.000 1.000
10 Harold H. Burton Voice Vote 0.280 0.930
11 Fred M. Vinson CJ Voice Vote 0.750 0.785
12 Tom C. Clark 73 – 8 0.500 0.125
13 Sherman Minton 48 – 16 0.720 0.355
14 Earl Warren CJ Voice Vote 0.750 0.855
15 John M. Harlan 71 – 11 0.875 0.750
16 William J. Brennan, Jr. Voice Vote 1.000 1.000
17 Charles E. Whittaker Voice Vote 0.500 1.000
18 Potter Stewart 70 – 17 0.750 1.000
19 Byron White Voice Vote 0.500 0.500
20 Arthur J. Goldberg Voice Vote 0.750 0.915
21 Abe Fortas Voice Vote 1.000 1.000
22 Thurgood Marshall 69 – 11 1.000 0.835
23 Abe Fortas CJ 45 – 43 * 0.845 0.635
24 Warren E. Burger CJ 74 – 3 0.115 0.960
25 Clement Haynsworth, Jr. 45 – 55 0.160 0.335
26 G. Harrold Carswell 45 – 51 0.040 0.111
27 Harry A. Blackmun 94 – 0 0.115 0.970
28 Lewis F. Powell, Jr. 89 – 1 0.165 1.000
29 William Rehnquist 68 – 26 0.045 0.885
30 John Paul Stevens 98 – 0 0.250 0.960
31 Sandra Day O’Connor 99 – 0 0.415 1.000
32 William Rehnquist CJ 65 – 33 0.045 0.400
33 Antonin Scalia 98 – 0 0.000 1.000
34 Robert H. Bork 42 – 58 0.095 0.790
35 Douglas Ginsburg Withdrawn 0.000 0.320
36 Anthony Kennedy 97 – 0 0.365 0.890
37 David Souter 90 – 9 0.325 0.765
38 Clarence Thomas 52 – 48 0.160 0.415
39 Ruth Bader Ginsburg 96 – 3 0.680 1.000
40 Stephen G. Breyer 87 – 9 0.475 0.545
41 John G. Roberts CJ 78 – 22 0.120 0.970
42 Harriet E. Miers Withdrawn 0.270 0.360
43 Samuel Alito 58 – 42 0.100 0.810
44 Sonia Sotomayor 68 – 31 0.780 0.810
45 Elena Kagan 63 – 37 0.730 0.730

* The vote on Fortas for the Chief Justice position was on cloture and failed to receive the necessary two-thirds majority.

A highlighted row indicates that the Justice is currently serving on the Court. A Senate vote in red text indicates that the nomination was blocked.

See also

References

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