2020 United States presidential election in New York

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Main article: 2020 United States presidential election

Lua error in Module:Infobox at line 271: malformed pattern (missing ']'). Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2020 United States presidential election in New York is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] New York voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New York has 29 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2] It has also been announced that New York will not be incumbent President Trump's home state for this election, now Florida.

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for April 28, 2020. On March 28, New York State elections officials moved the primary date to June 23 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.[3]

Canceled Republican primary

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Further information: 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries § Cancellation of state caucuses or primaries

On March 3, 2020, the New York Republican Party became one of several state GOP parties to officially cancel their respective primaries and caucuses. Donald Trump was the only Republican candidate to submit the required number of names of his 162 total delegates, both the 94 primary ones and the alternates. Among Trump's major challengers, Bill Weld only submitted about half of his required delegates, and neither Rocky De La Fuente nor Joe Walsh sent in any names at all. With the cancellation, Trump automatically gets to send his 94 New York pledged delegates to the national convention.[4][5]

Democratic primary

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Further information: 2020 New York Democratic primary

On April 27, 2020, New York State elections officials had decided to cancel the state's Democratic primary altogether, citing the fact that former Vice President Joe Biden was the only major candidate left in the race after all the others had suspended their campaigns, and canceling it would save the state millions of dollars from printing the extra sheet on the ballot.[6] However, on May 5, a federal judge ruled that the Democratic primary must proceed on June 23 after a suit made by former presidential primary candidate Andrew Yang.[7]

Among the other major candidates were entrepreneur Andrew Yang, Kirsten Gillibrand, one of New York's two current senators, and Bill de Blasio, the mayor of New York City. However, on August 29, 2019, Gillibrand dropped out of the race. Bill de Blasio as well dropped out on September 20, 2019, after failing to qualify for the 4th Democratic debate.

Results
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Other parties with ballot access

Conservative

The Conservative Party of New York State cross-endorsed the Republican ticket, nominating Donald Trump for President and Mike Pence for Vice President.[8]

Working Families

The Working Families Party cross-endorsed the Democratic ticket, nominating Joe Biden for President and Kamala Harris for Vice President.[9]

Green

The Green Party of New York nominated the national Green Party ticket; Howie Hawkins for President and Angela Nicole Walker for Vice President.

Libertarian

The Libertarian Party of New York nominated the national Libertarian Party ticket; Jo Jorgensen for President and Spike Cohen for Vice President.

Independence

The Independence Party of New York nominated independent candidates Brock Pierce for President and Karla Ballard for Vice President.[10]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Safe D September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[12] Safe D September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe D July 14, 2020
Politico[14] Safe D September 8, 2020
RCP[15] Safe D August 3, 2020
Niskanen[16] Safe D July 26, 2020
CNN[17] Safe D August 3, 2020
The Economist[18] Safe D September 2, 2020
CBS News[19] Likely D August 16, 2020
270towin[20] Safe D August 2, 2020
ABC News[21] Safe D July 31, 2020
NPR[22] Likely D August 3, 2020
NBC News[23] Safe D August 6, 2020
538[24] Safe D September 9, 2020

Polling

Aggregate polls

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Donald Trump Other/Undecided[lower-alpha 1] Margin
Real Clear Politics April 30 – August 22, 2020 September 8, 2020 58.3% 32.0% 9.7% Biden +26.3
FiveThirtyEight until August 22, 2020 September 12, 2020 60.2% 33.2% 6.6% Biden +27.0

with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Joe
Biden (D)		 Other Undecided
PPP Aug 20–22, 2020 1,029 (V) ± 3.1% 32% 63% – 5%
Siena College Jun 23–25, 2020 806 (RV) ± 3.9% 32% 57% – 10%
Siena College May 17–21, 2020 767 (RV) ± 3.7% 32% 57% – 11%
Quinnipiac University Apr 30 – May 4, 2020 915 (RV) ± 3.2% 32% 55% 5%[lower-alpha 3] 8%
Siena College Apr 19–23, 2020 803 (RV) ± 3.7% 29% 65% – 6%
Siena College Mar 22–26, 2020 566 (RV) ± 4.5% 33% 58% – 10%
Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 36% 55% – 5%
Former candidates

with Donald Trump and Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Michael
Bloomberg (D)		 Other Undecided
Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 33% 58% – 9%

with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Pete
Buttigieg (D)		 Other Undecided
Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 37% 56% – 7%

with Donald Trump and Bill de Blasio

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Bill
de Blasio (D)		 Other Undecided
Siena College Jun 2–6, 2019 812 (RV) ± 4.1% 36% 48% 13% 3%

with Donald Trump and Kirsten Gillibrand

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Kirsten
Gillibrand (D)		 Other Undecided
Siena College Jun 2–6, 2019 812 (RV) ± 4.1% 34% 58% 5% 3%

with Donald Trump and Amy Klobuchar

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Amy
Klobuchar (D)		 Other Undecided
Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 37% 53% – 10%

with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Bernie
Sanders (D)		 Other Undecided
Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 38% 56% – 7%

with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Elizabeth
Warren (D)		 Other Undecided
Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 39% 53% – 8%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in New York[25]
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Democratic Joe Biden
Working Families Joe Biden
Total Joe Biden Kamala Harris
Republican Donald Trump
Conservative Donald Trump
Total Donald Trump Mike Pence
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen
Green Howie Hawkins Angela Walker
Independence Brock Pierce Karla Ballard
Others / Write-Ins Others / Write-Ins
Totals TBD 100.00% 29

See also

Notes

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References

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  16. ↑ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
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