United States Senate election in Michigan, 2014

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United States Senate election in Michigan, 2014

← 2008 November 4, 2014 2020 →
  U.S. Rep. Gary Peters 2013 Official Photo.jpg Terri Lynn Land portrait crop.jpg
Nominee Gary Peters Terri Lynn Land
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,704,936 1,290,199
Percentage 54.6% 41.3%

Michigan Senate Election Results by County, 2014.svg
County results

U.S. senator before election

Carl Levin
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Gary Peters
Democratic

The 2014 United States Senate election in Michigan was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Michigan, concurrently with the election of the Governor of Michigan, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Carl Levin decided to retire instead of running for re-election to a seventh term. Primary contests took place on August 5, 2014, with U.S. Representative Gary Peters and former Michigan Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land unopposed on the Democratic and Republican primary ballots, respectively.[1] Peters defeated Land in the general election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Failed to qualify

  • Terry Whitney, technology executive[1][3][4]

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Democratic primary results[29]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gary Peters 504,102 100
Total votes 504,102 100

Republican primary

After Terri Lynn Land declared her candidacy in June 2013, Republicans attempted to recruit U.S. Representative Dave Camp and Oakland County District Court Judge Kimberly Small to run instead.[30] Camp, after earlier having said that he was not interested in running, reconsidered it, and Land indicated that she would consider dropping out if Camp decided to run.[31] Republicans were initially reluctant to rally around Land,[32][33] but after Camp and Small declined to run, other Republicans like U.S. Representative Justin Amash and Holland Mayor Kurt Dykstra also said no, and a late attempt to convince cardiologist Rob Steele to run failed, Land emerged as the de facto nominee.[33]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

  • Matthew Wiedenhoeft, businessman and former minor league hockey player and coach (running for the State House)[3][35]

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Republican primary results[29]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Terri Lynn Land 588,084 100
Total votes 588,084 100

Minor parties

Libertarian Party

U.S. Taxpayers Party

  • Richard A. Matkin[66]

Green Party

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Jeff Jones, retired financial services industry worker and pastor[68]
  • Paul Marineau, attorney and former Mayor pro tem of Douglas[69]

General election

Campaign

Early on, the open seat was considered to be competitive. But various missteps by the Land campaign[70] as well as Land's reluctance to appear in public after suffering a meltdown in front of the media in May[71][72] weighed down the Land campaign, allowing Peters to open up a consistent lead in the polls beginning in September. The Republican establishment effectively gave up on Land's campaign the following month.[73][74]

Debates

Peters agreed to four debates; Land did not responded to invitations.[75] Negotiations between the Land and Peters campaigns broke down over the format of proposed debates between the two candidates.[76]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gary
Peters (D)
Terri Lynn
Land (R)
Other Undecided
Mitchell Research November 2, 2014 1,224 ± 2.8% 52% 40% 4%[77] 4%
Public Policy Polling November 1–2, 2014 914 ± 3.2% 51% 38% 4%[77] 6%
54% 41% 5%
EPIC-MRA October 26–28, 2014 600 ± 4% 50% 35% 5% 10%
Mitchell Research October 27, 2014 1,159 ± 2.88% 52% 38% 5%[78] 5%
Glengariff Group October 22–24, 2014 600 ± 4% 47.7% 32.6% 5.9% 13.8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 2,394 ± 3% 49% 41% 1% 10%
Rasmussen Reports October 20–22, 2014 1,000 ± 3% 51% 42% 3% 4%
Public Policy Polling October 20–21, 2014 723 ± ? 53% 39% 8%
Clarity Campaign Labs October 19–20, 2014 1,032 ± ? 48% 33% 19%
Mitchell Research October 19, 2014 919 ± 3.23% 51.1% 37.5% 4.4%[79] 7%
EPIC-MRA October 17–19, 2014 600 ± 4% 45% 34% 4% 16%
Clarity Campaign Labs October 12–14, 2014 967 ± 3.16% 49% 36% 18%
Lake Research Partners October 11–13, 2014  ? ± ? 49% 37% 14%
Mitchell Research October 12, 2014 1,340 ± 2.68% 50% 39% 3.5%[80] 8%
Mitchell Research October 9, 2014 1,306 ± 2.71% 48% 43% 3.5%[81] 6%
Wenzel Strategies October 6–7, 2014 615 ± 3.93% 46.9% 44.3% 8.8%
Glengariff Group October 2–4, 2014 600 ± 4% 44% 35% 6% 15%
Public Policy Polling October 2–3, 2014 654 ± 3.8% 49% 42% 9%
Marketing Resource Group September 30–October 2, 2014 600 ± 4% 47.4% 36.4% 16.2%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 2014 2,560 ± 2% 46% 41% 2% 11%
Lake Research Partners September 27–30, 2014 600 ± 4% 45% 36% 18%
Mitchell Research September 29, 2014 1,178 ± 2.86% 49% 36% 5%[82] 9%
EPIC-MRA September 25–29, 2014 600 ± 4% 42% 33% 11% 14%
Target Insyght September 22–24, 2014 616 ± 4% 48% 38% 6% 7%
Public Policy Polling September 18–19, 2014 852 ± 3.4% 47% 40% 13%
We Ask America September 18–19, 2014 1,182 ± 3% 42% 39% 5%[82] 14%
Rasmussen Reports September 17–18, 2014 750 ± 4% 41% 39% 5% 15%
Magellan Strategies September 14–15, 2014 717 ± 3.66% 45% 40% 5%[83] 5%
Mitchell Research September 14, 2014 829 ± 3.4% 43% 41% 8%[84] 9%
Denno Research September 11–13, 2014 600 ± 4% 44.7% 37.7% 17.7%
Suffolk September 6–10, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 45.6% 36.8% 6.4%[85] 11.2%
Public Policy Polling September 4–7, 2014 687 ± 3.7% 43% 36% 7%[86] 13%
45% 40% 15%
Glengariff Group September 3–5, 2014 600 ± 4% 47% 36.5% 3.5% 13%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18–September 2, 2014 2,897 ± 3% 42% 43% 2% 13%
Mitchell Research August 27, 2014 1,004 ± 3.09% 46% 44% 10%
EPIC-MRA August 22–25, 2014 600 ± 4% 45% 39% 16%
Lake Research Partners August 6–11, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 42% 38% 19%
Mitchell Research August 5, 2014 626 ± 5% 45% 44% 11%
Harper Polling August 4–5, 2014 549 ± 4.18% 45% 44% 11%
Marketing Resource Group July 26–30, 2014 600 ± 4% 46.7% 40% 13.3%
Rasmussen Reports July 28–29, 2014 750 ± 4% 45% 39% 6% 10%
Benenson Strategy Group July 26–29, 2014 900 ± 3.2% 47% 42% 11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 3,849 ± 2.8% 44% 45% 1% 10%
Mitchell Research July 7–17, 2014 600 ± 4% 43% 38% 19%
EPIC-MRA July 12–15, 2014 600 ± 4% 45% 36% 19%
Denno Research July 9–11, 2014 600 ± 4% 39.5% 37.3% 23.2%
NBC News/Marist July 7–10, 2014 870 ± 3.3% 43% 37% 2% 19%
Public Policy Polling June 26–29, 2014 578 ± 4.1% 41% 36% 24%
Magellan Strategies June 5 & 8, 2014 753 ± 3.57% 50% 41% 5% 4%
Mitchell Research June 6, 2014 961 ± 3.16% 44.6% 41.5% 13.8%
Glengariff Group May 20–22, 2014 600 ± 4.3% 39.6% 35.3% 25%
EPIC-MRA May 17–20, 2014 600 ± 4% 44% 38% 18%
Hickman Analytics April 24–30, 2014 502 ± 4.4% 42% 37% 21%
Magellan Strategies April 14–15, 2014 875 ± 3.31% 46% 41% 8% 5%
Harper Polling April 7–8, 2014 538 ± 4.22% 40% 43% 18%
Mitchell Research April 9, 2014 1,460 ± 2.56% 38% 44% 18%
Public Policy Polling April 3–6, 2014 825 ± 3.4% 41% 36% 23%
Marketing Resource Group March 24–28, 2014 600 ± 4.1% 38% 40% 22%
Denno Research March 9–10, 2014 600 ± 4% 39.7% 36.7% 2% 21.7%
Clarity Campaigns February 22–23, 2014 859 ± 2.55% 46% 40% 14%
EPIC-MRA February 5–11, 2014 600 ± 4% 38% 41% 21%
Harper Polling January 19–20, 2014 750 ± 3.58% 37% 42% 21%
Rasmussen Reports January 14–15, 2014 500 ± 4.5% 35% 37% 8% 20%
Harper Polling January 7–8, 2014 1,004 ± 3.09% 36% 44% 20%
Public Policy Polling December 5–8, 2013 1,034 ± 3% 40% 42% 18%
Denno Research November 12–14, 2013 600 ± 4% 37% 36% 27%
Inside Michigan Politics October 29, 2013 794 ± 4% 43% 38% 19%
Public Policy Polling October 14–15, 2013 642 ± 3.9% 43% 36% 21%
MRG/Mitchell Research October 6–10, 2013 600 ± 4% 39% 40% 21%
EPIC-MRA September 7–10, 2013 600 ± 4% 38% 37% 25%
Mitchell Research August 26, 2013 1,881 ± 2.23% 36% 39% 25%
Denno Research July 23–24, 2013 600 ± 4% 39% 39% 22%
Public Policy Polling May 30–June 2, 2013 697 ± 3.7% 41% 36% 23%
Mitchell Research March 19 & 21, 2013 571 ± 4.1% 33% 32% 35%
Harper Polling March 9–10, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 21.14% 28.66% 50.20%

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Hypothetical polling
With Dingell
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Deborah
Dingell (D)
Justin
Amash (R)
Other Undecided
Mitchell Research March 19 & 21, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 38% 28% 34%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Deborah
Dingell (D)
Teri Lynn
Land (R)
Other Undecided
Mitchell Research March 19 & 21, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 31% 35% 34%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Deborah
Dingell (D)
Mike
Rogers (R)
Other Undecided
Mitchell Research March 19 & 21, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 34% 29% 37%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Deborah
Dingell (D)
Ronna
Romney
McDaniel (R)
Other Undecided
Mitchell Research March 19 & 21, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 36% 29% 35%
With Granholm
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jennifer
Granholm (D)
Justin
Amash (R)
Other Undecided
Harper Polling March 9–10, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 42.49% 34.14% 23.37%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jennifer
Granholm (D)
Teri Lynn
Land (R)
Other Undecided
Harper Polling March 9–10, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 42.99% 39.84% 17.17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jennifer
Granholm (D)
Mike
Rogers (R)
Other Undecided
Harper Polling March 9–10, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 42.20% 39.67% 18.14%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jennifer
Granholm (D)
G. Scott
Romney (R)
Other Undecided
Harper Polling March 9–10, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 43.10% 40.38% 16.52%
With Levin
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Carl
Levin (D)
Justin
Amash (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 2–4, 2013 702 ± 3.7% 49% 34% 18%
Public Policy Polling December 13–16, 2012 650 ± 3.8% 53% 32% 15%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Carl
Levin (D)
Roger
Kahn (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 2–4, 2013 702 ± 3.7% 50% 30% 20%
Public Policy Polling December 13–16, 2012 650 ± 3.8% 53% 31% 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Carl
Levin (D)
Candice
Miller (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 2–4, 2013 702 ± 3.7% 46% 35% 19%
Public Policy Polling December 13–16, 2012 650 ± 3.8% 52% 34% 14%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Carl
Levin (D)
Mike
Rogers (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 2–4, 2013 702 ± 3.7% 49% 33% 18%
Public Policy Polling December 13–16, 2012 650 ± 3.8% 55% 31% 14%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Carl
Levin (D)
Bill
Schuette (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 2–4, 2013 702 ± 3.7% 51% 32% 17%
Public Policy Polling December 13–16, 2012 650 ± 3.8% 54% 32% 15%
With LOLGOP
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
LOLGOP (D) Justin
Amash (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 30–June 2, 2013 697 ± 3.7% 23% 22% 55%
With Peters
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gary
Peters (D)
Justin
Amash (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 30–June 2, 2013 697 ± 3.7% 42% 30% 29%
Mitchell Research March 19 & 21, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 39% 29% 32%
Harper Polling March 9–10, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 22.56% 19.07% 57.37%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gary
Peters (D)
Saul
Anuzis (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 30–June 2, 2013 697 ± 3.7% 44% 24% 32%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gary
Peters (D)
Dave
Camp (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 30–June 2, 2013 697 ± 3.7% 43% 31% 26%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gary
Peters (D)
Kurt
Dykstra (R)
Other Undecided
Mitchell Research August 26, 2013 1,881 ± 2.23% 38% 37% 25%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gary
Peters (D)
Roger
Kahn (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 30–June 2, 2013 697 ± 3.7% 44% 26% 30%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gary
Peters (D)
Mike
Rogers (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 30–June 2, 2013 697 ± 3.7% 42% 32% 25%
EPIC-MRA May 11–15, 2013 600 ± 4% 37% 30% 33%
Mitchell Research March 19 & 21, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 36% 31% 33%
Harper Polling March 9–10, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 20.39% 22.75% 56.86%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gary
Peters (D)
G. Scott
Romney (R)
Other Undecided
Harper Polling March 9–10, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 26.15% 28.57% 45.28%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gary
Peters (D)
Ronna
Romney
McDaniel (R)
Other Undecided
Mitchell Research March 19 & 21, 2013 1,744 ± 2.35% 36% 29% 35%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gary
Peters (D)
Kimberly
Small (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 30–June 2, 2013 697 ± 3.7% 42% 26% 32%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gary
Peters (D)
Rob
Steele (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 30–June 2, 2013 697 ± 3.7% 44% 26% 29%

Results

The election was not close. Gary Peters, was declared the winner right when the polls closed in Michigan.

General election results[87]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Gary Peters 1,704,936 54.6 -8.1
Republican Terri Lynn Land 1,290,199 41.3 +7.5
Libertarian Jim Fulner 62,897 2.0% +.4%
Green Chris Wahmhoff 26,137 0.9% 0
U.S. Taxpayers Richard Matkin 37,529 1.2% +.6%
Write-Ins 77 0.0 0
Majority 414,737
Turnout 3,121,775
Democratic hold Swing

See also

References

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  22. http://www.freep.com/story/opinion/editorials/2014/10/19/senate-michigan-endorsement-peters/17514459/
  23. http://www.detroitnews.com/story/opinion/editorials/2014/10/29/news-endorsement-peters-senate/18138721/
  24. http://www.lansingstatejournal.com/story/opinion/editorials/2014/10/24/editorial-vote-gary-peters-us-senate/17832049/
  25. http://www.mlive.com/opinion/index.ssf/2014/10/mlive_media_group_gary_peters.html#incart_river
  26. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  28. http://www.record-eagle.com/opinion/editorials/editorial-peters-clear-choice-for-senate/article_6dcf9ca1-ff28-5ad1-94ff-034f923becbb.html
  29. 29.0 29.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  58. GOProud's 2014 Endorsements
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  70. http://www.crainsdetroit.com/article/20141109/NEWS/311099976/republicans-campaign-stumbles-helped-sink-land-amid-gop-wave
  71. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/05/29/michigan-lynn-land_n_5413352.html
  72. http://www.mlive.com/lansing-news/index.ssf/2014/10/tim_skubick_terri_lynn_lands_c.html
  73. http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/meet-gop-senate-candidate-republicans-love-hate/story?id=26224000
  74. http://atr.rollcall.com/senate-races-2014-why-michigan-never-became-iowa/
  75. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  76. http://www.wxyz.com/news/political/negotiations-end-for-proposed-us-senate-debate-between-land-peters-on-wxyz-and-wood-tv
  77. 77.0 77.1 Jim Fullner (L) 2%, Richard Matkin (TP) 1%, Chris Wahmhoff (G) 1%
  78. Jim Fullner (L) 3%, Richard Matkin (TP) 1%, Chris Wahmhoff (G) 1%
  79. Jim Fullner (L) 2.2%, Richard Matkin (TP) 1%, Chris Wahmhoff (G) 1.2%
  80. Jim Fullner (L) 2%, Richard Matkin (TP) 0.5%, Chris Wahmhoff (G) 1%
  81. Jim Fullner (L) 1%, Richard Matkin (TP) 0.5%, Chris Wahmhoff (G) 2%
  82. 82.0 82.1 Jim Fulner (L) 3%, Richard Matkin (TP) 1%, Chris Wahmhof (G) 1%
  83. Jim Fulner (L) 5%, Richard Matkin (TP) 2%, Chris Wahmhof (G) 3%
  84. Jim Fulner (L) 3%, Richard Matkin (TP) 2%, Chris Wahmhof (G) 3%
  85. Jim Fulner (L) 3.2%, Richard Matkin (TP) 1.8%, Chris Wahmhof (G) 1.4%
  86. Jim Fulner (L) 4%, Richard Matkin (TP) 2%, Chris Wahmhof (G) 1%
  87. http://miboecfr.nictusa.com/election/results/14GEN/05000000.html

External links

Official campaign websites